The consensus is the Fed will raise rates at their next meeting. The latest employment report all but baked this into the cake. However, I’m not so sure this is a good idea. First, there are three economic indicators – industrial production, corporate profits and bond yields – that signal we’re closer to the end of an expansion then the beginning. A rate hike in this environment may do more harm than good by adding additional counter-stimulus to the economy. Second, I believe the Fed mis-understands the current inflation dynam
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