Tuesday 18 August 2015

July housing permits & starts: neither cause for jubiliatioin nor concern

Depending on their bullish or bearish orientation, most of the commentary you will read today will either tout the post-recession record in housing starts, or bellow that We Are Doomed because of the big decline in permits.  Neither paint an accurate picture.

Let's start with the graph of housing starts (blue) vs. permits (red) for the last 5 years:



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